However figuring out when, and in whom, the mutations first appeared requires many extra virus samples from farm staff, native residents and mink, collected earlier than and after the outbreak. “That information doesn’t exist,” stated Arinjay Banerjee, a virologist on the College of Saskatchewan.
All through 2020, testing was tough for Individuals to entry and few affected person samples had been being sequenced. Surveillance in animals was even worse; till this spring, federal officers explicitly really helpful towards routinely testing animals for the virus.
“Widespread testing wasn’t accessible, then there turned a scarcity of sure provides,” Dr. Behravesh stated. “So we didn’t need there to be, you already know, a mad rush to check animals.”
With out extra samples, it’s inconceivable to rule out the chance that the variant emerged in people, who then unfold it to mink, scientists stated.
A much bigger puzzle is how the taxidermist and his spouse acquired it. The more than likely risk, a number of consultants stated, is that the variant was circulating extra broadly within the human inhabitants than was identified, and the couple caught it from one other contaminated individual.
One other, extra speculative, risk is that they picked up the variant from one other animal species. “Taxidermists cope with different useless animals,” stated Linda Saif, a virologist and immunologist at Ohio State College.
However as a result of the instances had been detected “weeks to months” after the 2 fell sick, testing any animals they could have been in touch with “was both not possible or not indicated,” stated Lynn Sutfin, a spokesperson for the Michigan D.H.H.S.